Swarm Roadmap
Controlled replay is now measuring where swarm reasoning works, and where it does not.
PASSIVE-SHIELD now includes deterministic multi-drone replay scenarios that produce the same kind of event stream the prototype consumes, while keeping separate ground truth for scoring. The analysis combines two public-safe signals: level shifts that suggest staged sources joining a combined RF observation, and multi-station GeoFusion residuals that show whether observations are spatially consistent with one point source.
A conservative swarm-hypothesis layer combines those signals into bounded outputs such as sequential launch wave, staged activation detected, insufficient evidence of multiple emitters, or insufficient evidence to determine coordination. It is not presented as solved aircraft counting, internal formation resolution, simultaneous-emitter separation, or fielded operational swarm detection.